As most readers know, I am not overly enamored with the Storm Cat male line. The last time I examined it statistically was with sales foals of 1998-2002. That group yielded a Price Index of 1.28 and a PPI (result) of 1.26, which made a lot of sense.
Yes, the Storm Cat male line was expensive. Yes, it had results better than average. The group sold for prices about 28% above average and produced results about 26% above average, very close to expectations based on their prices.
That study was based strictly on sons of Storm Cat (foals with Storm Cat as their paternal grandsire). Time has marched on since then. Storm Cat has since expanded into the third generation of the male line and even a little bit into the fourth.
So this time around, with sales foals of 2003-2007, I made no restrictions at all as to which generation Storm Cat appears in the male line. The second generation is still the majority no doubt, but the third generation has grown substantially.
Listed below are the ten best stakes winners from the Storm Cat male line among sales foals of 2003-2007, those with 2,000+ Performance Points. I trust that the format is familiar to you by now. Discussion resumes at the end of the list.
Stakes Winner Price PP
Surf Cat 03Y25,000 2,845
Sir Cat–Trust Greta, Centrust
Scat Daddy 95Y250,000 2,734
Johannesburg–Love Style, Mr. Prospector
Leah’s Secret 04Y50,000 2,559
Tiger Ridge–Lady Cruella, Capote
Henny Hughes 04Y180,000 2,525
Hennessy–Meadow Flyer, Meadowlake
Game Face 07T280,000 2,399
Menifee–Galleon of Gold, Gone West
Swift Temper 05Y285,000 2,397
Giant’s Causeway–Glasgow’s Gold, Seeking the Gold
Dangerous Midge 07Y120,000 2,390
Lion Heart–Adored Slew, Seattle Slew
River’s Prayer 04Y15,000 2,222
Devon Lane–Cozzy Flyer, Cozzene
Dancing in Silks 05W20,000 2,193
Black Minnaloushe–Lemhi Love, Royal and Regal
Red Giant 95Y350,000 2,192
Giant’s Causeway–Beyond the Sun, Kingmambo
Note that seven of the ten are by sons of Storm Cat. Three are by grandsons of Storm Cat: Scat Daddy (by Johannesburg, by Hennessy, by Storm Cat), Dangerous Midge (by Lion Heart, by Tale of the Cat, by Storm Cat), and Game Face (by Menifee, by Harlan, by Storm Cat). I did not keeop track of it, but I would not be surprised in the least if about 30% of all the foals were third generation (in line with three of the ten stakes winners).
Those ten stakes winners were by nine different sires, which is not too surprising, and is a testament to the popularity of the male line (the sheer numbers of sons and grandsons involved). Giant’s Causeway is the only repeat sire on the list (with two of the ten stakes winners), which is also not too surprising, since most people consider him the best son of Storm Cat.
All told, the Storm Cat male line accounted for 9,686 of the 70,714 sales foals of 2003-2007. That is 13.7% of the total and is second only to Mr. Prospector, whose male line accounted for 21,115 foals (about 29.9% of the total).
Those 9,686 foals sold for a maverage of 190.08 (compared to the overall maverage of 163.11) and a Price Index of 1.17 (compared to the overall figure of 1.00). So they sold for prices above average and should have had results above average as well.
Alas and alack, they had results BELOW average. Included among those 9,686 foals were 347 stakes winners (3.58%, better than the overall figure of 3.39%). Those 347 stakes winners were not a particularly good group, however. They averaged only 536 Performance Points apiece, well below the overall average of 608.
So taking both quantity and quality of stakes winners into account, these 9,686 foals had a PPI (result) of 0.93, considerably below their Price Index of 1.17. They sold for prices about 17% ABOVE average and produced results about 7% BELOW average. In a nutshell, the whole male line was overhyped and overpriced, a victim of its own extreme popularity.
Only 94 of the 2,400 stakes winners from 70,714 foals achieved 2,000+ Performance Points. That is 0.133% such stakes winners from foals. The Storm Cat male line produced only ten such stakes winners from 9,686 foals. That is 0.103%. So they particularly failed to produce the BEST stakes winners.
That statement is reinforced by the fact that the best of the ten (Surf Cat) achieved only 2,845 Performance Points. That is not very good compared to the likes of other stakes winners in this same group of sales foals such as Curlin and Zenyatta (both of whom achieved more than 13,000 Performance Points).
Storm Cat was by Storm Bird. Another 327 foals belonged to the Storm Bird male line (but NOT to the Storm Cat male line). Those 327 foals do NOT include 140 foals by Storm Cat himself. I will deal with those 140 foals later. These 327 foals were cheap, with a maverage of 101.93 (compared to the overall maverage of 163.11) and a Price Index of 0.62 (compared to the overall figure of 1.00).
Included among these 327 foals were six stakes winners (1.83%, well below the overall figure of 3.39%). One of those six stakes winners was Sun King (by Charismatic, by Summer Squall, by Storm Bird). Sun King earnd 3,240 Performance Points (better than any of the Storm Cats).
Thanks to Sun King, those six stakes winners were pretty good collectively, averaging 1,056 Performance Points apiece. That gave them a PPI (result) of 0.94 (better than Storm Cat’s 0.93). So the Storm Birds sold for prices about 38% below average and produced results about only 6% below average. Not bad at all. Better than Storm Cat in fact.
Storm Bird was a son of Northern Dancer of course. This series will continue next with an examination of the remainder of the Northern Dancer male line.