Bold Ruler, Fourth Generation

Last week the subject of discussion was Bold Ruler the racehorse (Horse of the Year and champion 3-year-old in 1957 and champion sprinter in 1958). This week we examine Bold Ruler in the fourth generation of more current pedigrees, specifically all foals sold as weanlings, yearlings, or two-year-olds at public auction in North America in 1999-2002.

Bold Ruler showed up 14,783 times in those 54,000+ pedigrees, ranking fourth overall, behind only Northern Dancer (21,402), Raise a Native (21,307), and Nearctic (15,883).

In the male line (P1 in the fourth generation) Bold Ruler showed up 1,259 times, including 65 stakes winners (5.16%), including two stakes winners with 2,000+ Performance Points: Tour of the Cat (2,507) and Financingavailable (2,258). Bold Ruler had a Price Index of 0.90 (eighth among those 20 sires) at P1 and a PPI (result) of 1.32 (third), a definite improvement in performance over price.

Tour of the Cat was by Tour d’Or, by Medaille d’Or, by Secretariat, by Bold Ruler. Financingavailable was by Kiridashi, by Bold Ruckus, by Boldnesian, by Bold Ruler. Neither of these is exactly a popular male line.

Seattle Slew (by Bold Reasoning, by Boldnesian, by Bold Ruler) is probably the reason Bold Ruler did so well at P1. The last few crops of Seattle Slew were still selling in 1999-2002, and they included some decent stakes winners (though none with 2,000+ Performance Points). The best of them was probably 2002 champion 2-year-old colt Vindication. Sold as a yearling for $2,150,000, Vindication was undefeated in four starts and earned $680,950, including the BC Juvenile (G1) and Kentucky Cup Juvenile S. (G3).

Hence Vindication had only 1,281 Performance Points, which are based on actual accomplishments, not potential or overall class. SHUDDACUDDAWUDDA need not apply. Considering that Vindication never raced past the age of two and was shuffled off to stud early, that rating of 1,281 is about right. Incidentally, Vindication died in July of 2008 without exactly distinguishing himself at stud, although his earliest crops sold for some pretty hefty prices.

At P2 in the fourth generation Bold Ruler had a Price Index of 0.93 (eighth) and a PPI (result) of 0.95 (13th), both numbers very close to average. He had 485 foals at this position, including 11 stakes winners (2.27%, not good at all), including Repent (2,256 Performance Points). So Repent is the main reason Bold Ruler was any good at all at P2. Repent was by Louis Quatorze, by Sovereign Dancer (by Northern Dancer out of Bold Princess, by Bold Ruler out of Grey Flight).

Bold Ruler showed up 4,574 times at P3 in the fourth generation (mostly because of Secretariat in the third generation), second at that position only to Northern Dancer (5,655). He had a Price Index of 1.08 (fourth) at P3 and a PPI (result) of 1.00 (seventh), both numbers right around the average.

Included among those 4,574 foals were 169 stakes winners (3.69%), including seven with 2,000+ Performance Points: Take Charge Lady (4,980), Adoration (3,951), Lost in the Fog (3,078), Speightstown (2,658), Elloluv (2,497), Mandy’s Gold (2,382), and Behaving Badly (2,149). Five of those seven involved Secretariat in the third generation. Only Elloluv and Mandy’s Gold did not. Both were by Gilded Time, who was by Timeless Moment out of Gilded Lilly, by What a Pleasure (by Bold Ruler out of Grey Flight).

Bold Ruler had 805 foals at P4 in the fourth generation, including 38 stakes winners (4.72%), including champion Left Bank (3,303 Performance Points). Left Bank was by French Deputy, whose second dam was Laredo Lass, by Bold Ruler. Bold Ruler had a Price Index of 0.99 (sixth) at P4 and a PPI (result) of 1.18 (fifth), an improvement in both absolute and relative terms.

Bold Ruler had 2,919 foals at P5 in the fourth generation, including 106 stakes winners (3.63%), including only one stakes winner with 2,000+ Performance Points: Snow Dance (2,239). Snow Dance was out of a mare by Spectacular Bid, by Bold Bidder, by Bold Ruler. Bold Ruler had a Price Index of 0.88 (13th) at P5 and a PPI (result) of 0.87 (15th). His results were just about as the prices predicted them to be (neither one any good).

Bold Ruler had 647 foals at P6 in the fourth generation, including 17 stakes winners (2.63%), including Kela (2,023 Performance Points). Kela was out of a mare by Sovereign Dancer (out of a Bold Ruler mare, as indicated above). Bold Ruler had a Price Index of 0.82 (16th) at P6 and a PPI (result) of 0.61 (18th). His results were even worse than his prices predicted them to be (neither one any good).

Bold Ruler had 3,601 foals at P7 in the fourth generation, tops among these 20 sires (Northern Dancer was second with 2,946). Included among those 3,601 foals were 134 stakes winners (3.72%), including four with 2,000+ Performance Points (Strut the Stage (3,369), Speightstown (2,658), Mandy’s Gold (2,382), and Smokey Glacken (2,057). Bold Ruler had a Price Index of 1.04 (11th) at P7 and a PPI (result) of 0.91 (11th). The best thing you can say about those two numbers is that they were about the same in relative terms.

The four stakes winners mentioned above all had second dams by sons of Bold Ruler: Strut the Stage (Bold Hour), Speightstown (Chieftain), Mandy’s Gold (Scout Leader), and Smokey Glacken (King Emperor).

Bold Ruler had 493 foals at P8 in the fourth generation, including 18 stakes winners (3.65%), including champion Fleet Indian (3,405 Performance Points, third dam Bravissimo, by Bold Ruler). Bold Ruler had a Price Index of 1.08 (13th) at P8 and a PPI (result) of 1.05 (tenth). Pretty much a wash. Incidentally, those 493 foals were the second most for any of these 20 sires at that position. Only Prince John (541) had more foals at P8.

Counting all eight positions, Bold Ruler collectively had 14,783 foals, including 558 stakes winners (3.77%). That works out to a Price Index of 1.00 (tenth) and a PPI (result) of 0.97 (14th), very slightly negative overall.

About 84% (12,353) of Bold Ruler’s fourth generation foals (14,783) were males in the third generation. The 2,430 female foals in the third generation had a Price Index of 0.95 and a PPI (result) of 0.96. The 12,353 male foals in the third generation had a Price Index of 1.00 and a PPI (result) of 0.98. Not much difference at all by sex.

Secretariat in the third generation (3,420) accounts for almost 24% of Bold Ruler in the fourth generation (14,783). Those 3,420 foals had a Price Index of 1.24 and a PPI (result) of 1.28. The 11,363 foals without Secretariat in the third generation had a Price Index of 0.91 and a PPI (result) of 0.89. Very little relative change from Bold Ruler’s overall numbers of 1.00 (Price Index) and 0.97 (PPI) except that both numbers are lower.

To recapitulate, Bold Ruler is not very interesting and not particularly good in the fourth generation. Not much difference at all between his males and females in the third generation. Of course Secretariat is the best thing he has going for him in the third generation. Without Secretariat both his prices and results are even worse. His overall Price Index of 1.00 and overall PPI (result) of 0.97 tell the story. Average, average, average (or perhaps slightly below). At the risk of sounding like a broken record, after four generations average is exactly what you should expect to find.

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