Native Dancer, Fourth Generation

Native Dancer the racehorse has been thoroughly discussed in these pages over the past few months. See Native Dancer, 1953 and Native Dancer, 1954. Now is the time to discuss Native Dancer as a name in more current pedigrees, specifically in the pedigrees of all weanlings, yearlings, and two-year-olds sold in North America in 1999-2002.

Native Dancer showed up 11,660 times among these 54,000+ foals, fifth among these 20 sires, behind only Northern Dancer (21,402), Raise a Native (21,307), Nearctic (15,883), and Bold Ruler (14,783). Almost half of those 11,660 were in the male line (P1 in the fourth generation), behind only Raise a Native (7,796), Nearctic (7,238), and Northern Dancer (5,927).

Included among those 5,822 foals were 237 stakes winners (4.07%), including 16 with 2,000+ Performance Points: Azeri (9,380), War Emblem (4,991), Alkaased (3,999), Voodoo Dancer (3,628), Russian Rhythm (3,361), Hawk Wing (3,111), Whipper (2,790), City Zip (2,718), Speightstown (2,658), Crafty Shaw (2,446), Barbeau Ruckus (2,189), The Cliff’s Edge (2,165), Behaving Badly (2,149), Magistretti (2,064), Proud Man (2,035), and Kela (2,023).

Native Dancer was of course the sire of Raise a Native. All but one of those 16 stakes winners above was through Raise a Native in the third generation. Raise a Native was of course the sire of Mr. Prospector. All but one of the 16 stakes winners above was through Mr. Prospector in the second generation. The lone exception was Magistretti, by Diesis, by Sharpen Up, by Atan, by Native Dancer.

At P1 in the fourth generation Native Dancer had a Price Index of 1.06 (fifth among these 20 sires) and a PPI (result) of 1.16 (ninth), an improvement in absolute terms. Most of that was attributable to Mr. Prospector in the second generation. The latter had a PPI of 1.26 at P1 there and a PPI (result) of 1.37.

At P2 in the fourth generation Native Dancer had a Price Index of 1.39 (fourth) and a PPI (result) of 1.15 (eighth), a disappointing result. He had 1,170 foals at P2, including 49 stakes winners (4.19%), including Elloluv (2,497 Performance Points), Mandy’s Gold (2,382), and Offlee Wild (2,076).

Native Dancer was the broodmare sire of Northern Dancer, who does not figure in the three stakes winners above. Elloluv and Mandy’s Gold were by Gilded Time, by Timeless Moment (by Damascus out of Hour of Parting, by Native Dancer). Offlee Wild was by Wild Again, by Icecapade (by Nearctic out of Shenanigans, by Native Dancer). Northern Dancer himself was very disappointing at P1 in the second generation, with a Price Index there of 1.52 (third) and a PPI (result) of 0.81 (17th).

At P3 in the fourth generation Native Dancer had a Price Index of 0.89 (12th) and a PPI (result) of 0.72 (14th), not a particularly good result. He had 481 foals at P3, including 17 stakes winners (3.53%), but none with 2,000+ Performance Points.

At P4 in the fourth generation Native Dancer had a Price Index of 0.75 (12th) and a PPI (result) of 0.71 (13th), again not a particularly good result. He had 697 foals at P4, including 29 stakes winners (4.16%), but none with 2,000+ Performance Points.

At P5 in the fourth generation Native Dancer had a Price Index of 1.28 (first) and a PPI (result) of 0.88 (14th), a particularly disappointing result. He had 1,757 foals at P5, including 67 stakes winners (3.81%), including Silver Wagon (2,462 Performance Points). Silver Wagon was out of a mare by Darn That Alarm, by Jig Time, by Native Dancer.

At P6 in the fourth generation Native Dancer had a Price Index of 1.00 (seventh) and a PPI (result) of 0.79 (16th), another disappointing result. He had 633 foals at P6, including 24 stakes winners (3.79%), but none with 2,000+ Performance Points.

At P7 in the fourth generation Native Dancer had a Price Index of 0.95 (16th) and a PPI (result) of 1.22 (sixth), finally a good result. He had 741 foals at P7, including 35 stakes winners (4,72%), including champion Fleet Indian (3,405 Performance Points) and Saratoga County (2,747). The second dam of Fleet Indian was by Restless Native, by Native Dancer. The second dam of Saratoga County was by Rattle Dancer, by Native Dancer.

At P8 in the fourth generation Native Dancer had a Price Index of 1.26 (fifth) and a PPI (result) of 0.84 (15th), back to the disappointing results. He had 359 foals at P8, including 15 stakes winners (4.18%), but none with 2,000+ Performance Points.

Counting all eight possible positions, Ntaive Dancer had an overall Price Index in the fourth generation of 1.10 (fourth) and a PPI (result) of 1.04 (ninth), disappointing.

A little more than 75% (8,801) of Native Dancer in the fourth generation (11,660) were males in the third generation. Those 8,801 foals had a Price Index of 1.09 and a PPI (result) of 1.08 (very close to fairly valued). The 2,859 with female foals in the third generation had a Price Index of 1.13 and a PPI (result) of 0.93, very disappointing.

More than 64% of Native Dancer in the fourth generation (11,660) was Raise a Native in the third generation (7,518). Those 7,518 foals had a Price Index of 1.13 and a PPI (result) of 1.12, very closer to fairly valued. The 4,142 foals not through Raise a Native in the third generation had a Price Index of 1.05 and a PPI (result) of 0.91, a very disappointing result.

To recapitulate, Native Dancer was pretty disappointing overall. His foals with females in the third generation were particularly disappointing (Price Index of 1.13 and PPI of 0.93), mainly thanks to the poor performance of Northern Dancer at P1 in the second generation. His Raise a Natives in the third generation were almost right on the money (1.13 and 1.12). Not Raise a Native in the third generation was also disappointing (1.05 and 0.91).

After four generations, perhaps disappointing is what you should expect. At least you should not be totally surprised to see it.

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