Rasmussen Factor, Inbreeding Patterns

Racehorse Breeding Theories noted two particular patterns of inbreeding that involved the Rasmussen Factor.  The so-called Formula One Pattern is constituted by duplicating the direct female line of the sire to the direct female line of the dam. Quiet American was the example given. Cequillo was the third dam of Quiet American’s sire, Fappiano. Cequillo was also the third dam of Quiet American himself. Quiet American was 4×3 to Cequillo.

The so-called Delta Pattern involves duplicating full brothers and sisters up the top line through the sire and down the bottom line through the dam. The example given was 1982 champion 2-year-old Roving Boy (NOT 1980 champion two-year-old, as the chapter erroneously states). Roving Boy was by Olden Times out of Black Eyed Lucy.

Olden Times was by Relic, by War Relic (by Man o’ War out of Friar’s Carse). Black Eyed Lucky was by Prince Royal II out of Lady o’ War, by Princequillo out of War Kilt (by Man o’ War out of Friar’s Carse). War Relic and War Kilt were full siblings. Roving Boy was inbred 3×3 to those full siblings (and both Man o’ War and Lady o’ War are misspelled in the book).

I had so much fun with these two patterns in my series a little over two years ago that I decided to do it all over again, only this time with sales foals of 2003-2007 instead of sales foals of 1999-2002. I did notice this time around that the so-called Delta Pattern specified that the names duplicated must be FULL siblings. The so-called Formula One Pattern does NOT specify that the names duplicated must be FULL sisters.

That did not and still does not make any sense to me. So I decided to look at three patterns. Henceforth I will call Formula One Pattern A and Delta Pattern B. Nags that fit Pattern B except that they involve HALF siblings instead of FULL siblings I call Pattern C.

Listed below are all nags among sales foals of 2003-2007 that fit these three patterns. I trust that the format is familiar to you by now. Discussion follows the lists.

Name                                     Price                 RR            Inbreeding

Pattern A Stakes Winners

Thunder Touch                03T95,000          605      4×4 Snow Flyer

Gulch–Highland Vixen, Highland Ruckus

Catch My Fancy               04Y50,000         348      3×2 Monique Rene

Yes It’s True–Walk Away Rene, Gold Alert

Beacon Shine                    05T200,000     307     4×4 Old Bess

Montbrook–Unlimited Pleasure, Valid Appeal

Spirited Away                    05Y290,000     234     4×4 Square Generation

Awesome Again–Cape North, Capote

Storm Allied                       05Y70,000     429     5×5 Rough Shod II

Stormy Atlantic–Aliata, Mr. Prospector

Teuflesberg                         05Y9,000       1122    5×4 State

Johannesburg–St. Michele, Devil’s Bag

Pattern B Stakes Winners

None

Pattern C Stakes Winners

Indigo Cat                            03Y2,600,000     165     4×5 Natalma

Storm Cat–Bluemamba, Kingmambo

Country Vision                    04Y27,000           157     5×5 Raise You

Cahill Road–Country Dream, Country Pine

Silly Little Mama                04Y5,700              350     5×5 Kerala

Old Topper–White Truffle, Dehere

Saucey Evening                  07Y160,000         668     3×3 Northern Sea

More Than Ready–Jeweled Lady, General Meeting

Sunday Sunrise                  07Y50,000            249     3×3 Miesque

Lemon Drop Kid–Sun Is Up, Sunday Silence

Tiger’s Rock                        07Y300,000         331      4×3 South Ocean

Giant’s Causeway–Call Me Fleet, Afleet

Uno Mas                             07Y150,000           324      4×4 Ta Wee

Macho Uno–Queen Majesty, Regal Classic

Pattern A (Not Stakes Winners)

Berica                                    03Y7,000               PL       4×4 Red Belle

Bertrando–Seeper, Believe It

Double Margin                    03Y14,000             UP      4×4 Terentia

Boundary–Maniches Slew, Slew o’ Gold

Chicatoy                               03W7,000              UP       4×4 Remedia

Brahms–Runaway Toy, Runaway Groom

unnamed                             03W10,000            UR       4×4 Strike a Pose

Broken Vow–Mountainside, Mt. Livermore

Tres Aimee’s                       03Y14,000               W        4x4x4 Aimee

Canaveral–Chipper Roth, Blushing Groom

Cryptofire                           03Y10,000                W       4×4 Alablue

Cryptoclearance–Ivor’s Fire, Sir Ivor

Tejano Heath                     03Y11,682                 W       4×4 Forward March

Dixieland Heat–Senorita Bandito, Tejano

Dynantonia                        03Y150,000             GSP     4×5 Golden Trail

Dynaformer–Saragossa Strait, Bertrando

My Little Fortune             03Y5,200                    W       3×3 Biddy Big

Fortunate Prospect–Kayjack, Cozzene

Yellow Heat                       03T145,000                W       5×3 Exclusive Dancer

Gold Fever–The Real Thing, Capote

Fifty Grand Bonus           03Y42,000                  UR       5×4 Plum Cake

Grand Slam–Daphne’s Dancer, Northern Dancer

Wonone                              03Y77,000                 SPW     5×5 Plum Cake

Grand Slam–Maresa, Shahrastani

Blame the Malt                 03Y4,310                      UP       2×3 Arctic Vixen

Highland Ruckus–Nimble Vixen, Shotiche

Slice of Glory                    03Y61,064                     W       3×3 Prima Babu Gum

Langfuhr–Deli Cat, Bold Ruckus

Lang’s Trick                      03Y57,000                    W       3×2 Prima Babu Gum

Langfuhr–Game Trick, Clever Trick

Steevlyn                            03Y18,000                     W       3×2 Prima Babu Gum

Langfuhr–Southern Cat, Storm Cat

T’s Meckenzie                  03T2,000                     UR       3×3 Biddy Big

Mecke–Kayjack, Cozzene

Becca’s Delight                03W2,000                    UP       3×4 Silver Spoon

Metfield–Round Z. Bend, Ziad

Little Wishes                   03T15,000                      W       3×5 Silver Spoon

Metfield–Awake, Silver Buck

Olympic Funding           03Y19,000                      PL       4×3 Brighton View

Olympio–Bid of Fun, Spectacular Bid

Kendrick’s Patsy            03Y70,000                       W       4×3 Exclusive Dancer

Out of Place–Amble, Strolling Along

Sir Pyy                              03Y18,000                       W       5x4x4x5 Aspidistra

Pentelicus–Yada Yada, Great Above

Yada Boy                          03T4,500                         W       5x4x4x5 Aspidistra

Pentelicus–Yada Yada, Great Above

Patsy Pine                        03Y23,000                       W       5×5 Bold Irish

Pine Bluff–Cercis, Forty Niner

Northern Ballad             03T160,000                     W       3×4 Miss Swapsco

Saint Ballado–Sloane Street, Topsider

Mr Piano Man                03T30,000                       W       4x3x4 Foggy Note

Rubiano–Foggy Note Medley, Relaunch

Custom Copy                   03Y5,000                        UR       4×4 Close Control

Souvenir Copy–Custom Care, Avenue of Flags

Daytime Style                  03T9,000                        UP       3×3 Sophisticated Girl

Souvenir Copy–Sophisticated Miss, General Meeting

Foxy Patty                        03Y20,000                      W        4×4 Avum

Stephen Got Even–Musical Talent, Local Talent

Antifreezette                    03Y47,000                      W        4×4 Zonah

Storm Boot–Icy Zone, Wild Again

Flying Fever                     03Y325,000                   UP       5×4 Nalee

Stormin Fever–Flying Honors, Silver Hawk

Country Pursuit              03Y100,000                     W      4×4 Pange

Theatrical–Jade Flush, Jade Hunter

Jimmi’s Hazy Road        03W500                           UR      5×4 Bases Full

The Name’s Jimmy–Hayes’ Faith, Cahill Road

Heather’s Thunder         03Y1,700                          W       5×5 Challedella

Thunder Rumble–Winterthur, Ogygian

Risky                                 03Y95,000                      UP       3×4 Lady Dulcinea

Two Punch–Riscay, Rahy

Wavering Prince             O3T3,000                        UP       3×4 Lady Be Good

Wavering Monarch–Princess Be Good, Clever Trick

Wild Buster                      03W1,000                       UR       5×4 Zonah

Wild Zone–Rachel Lynn, Housebuster

Yankee Pal                        03Y7,200                          W       4×4 Who’s to Know

Yankee Victor–Palau, Kingmambo

Snafu                                  04Y25,000                       W      4×4 Bayou

Aptitude–Ceiling, Boundary

Ingleby Arch                     04Y39,000                       W       4×3 Courtly Dee

Arch–Inca Dove, Mr. Prospector

Chicatoy                             04Y11,500                       UP       4×4 Remedia

Brahms–Runaway Toy, Runaway Groom

unnamed                           04Y14,250                        UR      4×4 Grass Shack

Charismatic–Starolamo, Bargain Day

Silk Cat                              04Y35,000                        W       4×4 Lady Cornwall

Chelsey Cat–Roses n Silks, Golden Choice

Moorlander                      04W340,000                    PL       4×4 Blue Canoe

Cozzene–Forest Key, Green Forest

Numair                             04W150,000                      W       4×4 Blue Canoe

Cozzene–Sherona, Mr. Greeley

Entrenchment                 04Y42,000                         PL       3×3 Impetuous Gal

Ecton Park–Jean Beebe, Missionary Ridge

Incredible Play                04Y6,500                            W       3×5 Broadway

Fast Play–Incredible Blues, Cure the Blues

Sabatini                            04Y43,000                        GSP      4×3 Lover’s Walk

Five Star Day–Play Date, Geiger Counter

Hishi Ranger                   04Y90,000                         UR      3×3 Surgery

Forestry–Golden Court, Slew o’ Gold

Fifty Grand Bonus          04T50,000                         UR      5×4 Plum Cake

Grand Slam–Daphne’s Dancer, Northern Dancer

Djournet                           04T9,000                            UR      3×3 Chateaupavia

Grindstone–Buzz Buzz Buzz, Well Decorated

Full Scholarship              04Y15,000                           W       5×4 Missy Baba

Honor Grades–Silver Decade, Silver Hawk

Black Spot                         0yY42,000                        SPW     4×5 Grand Splendor

Honour and Glory–Mancha Negra, Private Account

Chasen Chas                     04Y8,200                             W       4x4x4 Natalma

Jules–Maple Lyph, Lyphard

Peace Jules                       04Y3,200                             W       4x5x5 Natalma

Jules–Maple Sundae, Irgun

Charming Trot                 04T2,700                            UP       4×4 Dulcie

Kessem Power–Foxtrot, Citidancer

Frog Attitude                    04Y5,000                           UP        5×4 Monarchy

Minardi–Sunshine Serenade, Sunshine Forever

Patrimony                        04Y15,000                          UP       5×4 Best Side

More Than Ready–Passionate Heroine, Hero’s Honor

Sir Pyy                                04T52,500                          W       5x4x4x5 Aspidistra

Pentelicus–Yada Yada, Great Above

Ocean Sound                     04Y125,000                       UP      5×5 Monarchy

Pulpit–Ocean Queen, Zilzal

Tuscan Prince                   04Y110,000                         W       5x4x4 Cequillo

Quiet American–Te Kani, Northern Dancer

Robynthepiggybank        04Y7,500                              W       5×5 Broad Ripple

Robyn Dancer–Stan’s Love, Fortunate Prospect

Get Offa My Cloud           04T55,000                           W       4x3x4 Foggy Note

Rubiano–Foggy Note Medley, Relaunch

Seneca Sugar                     04Y5,500                             W        3×4 Sally Stark

Seneca Jones–That Kind I Want, Relaunch

Syncopated Silver             04T2,000                             W        5×5 Sunday Evening

Silver Music–Carat Sale, Cure the Blues

Prayforsnow                       04Y25,000                          W       5×5 Old Bess

Songandaprayer–Snow Image, Frosty the Snowman

Vanilla Scoop                      04Y25,000                       SPW      3×2 Sophisticated Girl

Souvenir Copy–Grand Sophisticate, El Gran Senor

Foxy Patty                            04Y75,000                          W       4×4 Avum

Stephen Got Even–Musical Talent, Local Talent

Symphony of Motion         o4Y38,000                         PL       4×4 Native Street

Stravinsky–Hillary Street, Temperence Hill

Angel’s Love                        04Y10,000                         PL        3×3 Square Angel

Swain–Aerial Ballet, Kingmambo

Bella Diavolo                       04Y27,000                         UR       4×3 State

Tale of the Cat–Devil’s Territory, Devil’s Bag

Rosy Finch                           04Y200,000                      UP        4×5 Pange

Theatrical–Chitka, Jade Hunter

Summer Trip                       04Y105,000                        W        4×3 Only the Loyal

Trippi–Princess of Oz, Acaroid

Phantom Punch                  04Y105,000                        PL       3×4 Lady Dulcinea

Two Punch–Riscay, Rahy

Nushka Babee                     05Y4,000                           SPW      5×5 Bourtai

Aptitude–Arbusha, Danzig

Running Aptitude              05Y18,000                            W        5×5 Bourtai

Aptitude–Diamondruna, Diamond Sword

Witch Woman                     05T50,000                         SPW      4×4 Square Generation

Awesome Again–Ms. Deep Pockets, Buckaroo

Chocolateforlunch              05Y12,692                          SPW      4×5 Fancy Knot

Bold Executive–A J’s Windancer, Great Gladiator

Diamond’s Tonight            05Y1,300                              PL        5×5 Uvira II

Cloud Cover–Checkered Past, Pass Catcher

Moorlander                         05Y190,000                         PL        4×4 Blue Canoe

Cozzene–Forest Key, Green Forest

Numair                                05Y150,000                          W        4×4 Blue Canoe

Cozzene–Sherona, Mr. Greeley

Incredible Play                   05T100,000                         W        3×5 Broadway

Fast Play–Incredible Blues, Cure the Blues

Sabatini                                05T350,000                       GSP      4×3 Lover’s Walk

Five Star Day–Play Date, Geiger Counter

Mr Caya                               05Y5,500                               W       4×4 Miss Foxcroft

Good and Tough–Sister Fox, Pine Bluff

Captain Hennessy             05Y150,000                          UP      3×2 T. C. Kitten

Hennessy–Careless Kitten, Caro

Cost of Capital                    05T5,500                              PL       5×4 Cequillo

Honour and Glory–Fortune Lady, Fortunate Prospect

Chasen Chas                       05T12,000                             W        4x4x4 Natalma

Jules–Maple Lyph, Lyphard

Annikat                                05Y5,902                               W        4×4 Fancy Knot

Katahaula County–Redintheface, Briartic

Dotoroe                                05Y3,976                               PL       4×4 Broadway

King Cugat–Radiant Prospect, Supremo

Devils Warrior                    05Y15,000                             W        5×5 Big Hurry

Lost Soldier–Breaking Taboos, Devil’s Bag

Hold Your Victory              05Y2,500                               W        3×5 Victory Chant

Meadow Monster–No Hastle, Affirmed

Herald Square                     05T70,000                            W        4×3 Old Bess

Montbrook–Cricket Box, Notebook

Pulpit Rock                          05Y675,000                         UR        4×4 State

Pulpit–Classic Threat, Regal Classic

On the Radio                       05Y6,000                               W         3×4 On the Trail

Radio Star–Counselita’s Wish, Lear Fan

Return With Honor            05Y20,000                           UR        5×4 Searching

Roar–Caspian Tern, Arctic Tern

Jones Power                         05Y7,500                               W         3×4 Sally Stark

Seneca Jones–That Kind I Want, Relaunch

Seneca Sugar                        05T6,500                               W        3×4 Sally Stark

Seneca Jones–That Kind I Want, Relaunch

Prayforsnow                         05T37,000                             W        5×5 Old Bess

Songandaprayer–Snow Image, Frosty the Snowman

Bella Diavolo                        05T47,000                            UR        4×3 State

Tale of the Cat–Devil’s Territory, Devil’s Bag

Tiz Divine                              05Y95,000                            W         5×4 Sulenan

Tiznow–Her Halo, Saint Ballado

unnamed                               05Y25,000                            UR       4×3 Only the Loyal

Trippi–Princess of Oz, Acaroid

Wild Buster                          05T7,500                                UR       5×4 Zonah

Wild Zone–Rachel Lynn, Housebuster

Morganbonnetday              05Y1,000                                UR       5×5 Sofarsogood

Worldly Ways–Morgansbluebonnet, Blue Orca

Catch My Fancy                   05Y150,000                            W        3×2 Monique Rene

Yes It’s True–Walk Away Rene, Gold Alert

Saraguska                             05W105,000                           W        4×4 Execution

Yonaguska–Fairytalescometrue, Irish River

Running Aptitude               06T15,000                               W       5×5 Bourtai

Aptitude–Diamondruna, Diamond Sword

Miss Bubbles                        06T1,100                                 UR      3×4 Louisa’s Pleasure

Bert’s Bubbleator–B A. Dainty Lady, Major Impact

Best Big Band                       06Y65,000                               W      4×4 Thirty Years

Best of Luck–One More Flag, Dixieland Band

unnamed                                06W90,000                            UR      4×4 Square Angel

Cape Town–Nany’s Affair, Colonial Affair

Miss Ballado                          06Y2,000                                UP      3×4 Miss Swapsco

Devil’s Bag–Prairie View, Honor Grades

Downintheboondocks         06T7,000                                 UP     3×5 Foggy Note

Glitterman–Chimed, Lear Fan

Tuffy Is Good                        06Y12,500                               W       4×4 Miss Foxcroft

Good and Tough–Sister Fox, Pine Bluff

Heavenly Wish                      06T1,350                                 UP      3×4 Cool Mood

Heaven’s Wish–Inafestivemood, Festive

Model Student                       06Y8,500                                W       4×5 Grand Splendor

Honour and Glory–Mid Thirties, Midyan

Guaranteed Issue                  06Y11,000                               W       5×5 Cequillo

Honour and Glory–Pretty Ribbons, Capote

Phi Beta Mom                        o6Y110,000                             W       5×4 State

Johannesburg–St. Michele, Devil’s Bag

unnamed                                 06Y6,000                                UR     4×5 Hopespringseternal

Jump Start–Elmine, Siphon

Herald Square                        06T400,000                            W       4×3 Old Bess

Montbrook–Cricket Box, Notebook

Holborn                                    06Y22,593                               W       4×3 Turn Capp

Smoke Glacken–Featherinmycapp, Rare Brick

Validinsky                                06T2,500                                 PL      4×5 Native Street

Stravinsky–Appealing Jeanne, Valid Appeal

Little Theater                           06Y250,000                           UR     4×5 Pange

Theatrical–Chitka, Jade Hunter

Olympic Zone                          06W2,000                               PL     5×4 Zonah

Wild Zone–Z Olympic Cat, Olympio

Mr. Baccarat                            06T40,000                              UR     3×3 Cool Mood

With Approval–Hot Pillow, Bates Motel

Sheraguska                               06W35,000                             W       4×4 Execution

Yonaguska–Fairytalescometrue, Irish River

Saraguska                                  06Y70,000                              W       4×4 Execution

Yonaguska–Fairytalescometrue, Irish River

Casey’s Tribe                             06Y30,000                              W       4×2 Execution

Yonaguska–Deftly, In Reality

My Hearts Delight                    07W2,200                                UR      3×3 Never Knock

Albert the Great–Moscow Tap, Moscow Ballet

unnamed                                    07Y10,000                               UR     5×2 Best in Show

Aldebaran–Perfect Isn’t Easy, Saratoga Six

Mr. Aldo                                     07Y50,000                                W       5×4 Best in Show

Aldebaran–Summertown, Diesis

Town Parts                                 07W18,000                              UP     4×5 Square Angel

Cape Town–Bluffing, Pine Bluff

Seeking Roses                            07W8,000                                W       4×4 Square Angel

Cape Town–Nany’s Affair, Colonial Affair

unnamed                                     07Y150,000                             UR     4×4 Square Angel

Cape Town–Nany’s Affair, Colonial Affair

Indian Reservation                    07Y14,000                                W       3×3 Dame Francesca

Cherokee Run–Collymore Hall, Concerto

The Arneli Angel                        07W5,500                                UP      3×3 Close Control

Doneraile Court–Paix, King of Kings

Abiding                                         07Y300,000                           UR       3×3 On the Trail

Dynaformer–Unending Love, Dixieland Band

Goeasycegan                                07Y2,500                                 UP      4×3 Ride the Trails

Easyfromthegitgo–Offshore Transfer, Crafty Prospector

Bourbon Bear                              07Y65,000                                W       5x5x5 Sequence

Forestry–Goin Bear, Gone West

Poupon                                          07Y12,750                                 W      4x5x5 Grand Splendor

Honour and Glory–L’Enfant, A. P Jet

Model Student                             07T20,000                                W       4×5 Grand Splendor

Honour and Glory–Mid Thirties, Midyan

Northbound Bull                         07Y7,700                                   UR     3×3 Proudest Bee

In Excessive Bull–Northbound Sally, Big Sal

Aint Dat the Truth                       07Y4,000                                  UR     3×2 Kitchen Window

Is It True–Saratoga Crystal, Saratoga Six

Phi Beta Mom                               07T325,000                              W       5×4 State

Johannesburg–St. Michele, Devil’s Bag

Flashgun                                        07Y25,000                                UP     5×4 Missy Baba

Lemon Drop Kid–Tolltally Light, Majestic Light

Nat the Brat                                   07Y1,100                                   W       5×5 Nangela

Madraar–Calling Party, Caller I. D.

Big Blue Martini                            07T220,000                            W       4×4 Old Bess

Montbrook–Box of Joy, Concerto

Unlimited Dreams                        07T67,000                               W        4×4 Old Bess

Montbrook–Unlimited Pleasure, Valid Appeal

Campaneris                                    07Y3,500                                 UR      4×4 Good Landing

More Than Ready–Shortstop Sal, Ghazi

Elegant Kindness                          07Y26,000                                W       5×4 Exclusive

Out of Place–Kind Reception, Secretariat

Wild Night                                      07Y5,500                                   W       5×4 Dangerous Dame

Pikepass–Night Slew, Seattle Slew

Navys Baby                                     07T13,000                                PL       4×5 Businesslike

Polish Navy–Barbara Phoebe, Chidester

Boxing Pammy                               07T2,200                                 UP       3×5 Captive Audience

Russian Courage–Pam in the Gym, Order

Five Oh Somewhere                      07Y4,300                                 UP        3×4 Sally Stark

Seneca Jones–That Kind I Want, Relaunch

Country Tough                               07Y125,000                              W         4×4 Classy Quillo

Smart Strike–Thunder and Rain, Capote

Holborn                                            07T80,000                              W         4×3 Turn Capp

Smoke Glacken–Featherinmycapp, Rare Brick

Turnitloose                                       07T17,000                              PL         4×5 Ciboulette

Time Bandit–Jay Dreaming, Copelan

Golden Impression                         07Y13,000                              UR        3×4 Cool Mood

With Approval–Princess Liaka, Mutakddim

This Ones for Mary                         07Y6,500                                UP         4×4 Who’s to Know

Yankee Victor–Thisonesforjerry, Geri

Sheraguska                                       07Y50,000                              W          4×4 Execution

Yonaguska–Fairytalescometrue, Irish River

Pattern B (Not Stakes Winners)

Little Switz                       03T37,000                     W        5×5 Raise You

Grand Slam–Operator Seven, Phone Trick

Shiper                                03Y2,500                      UP       4×3 Raise You

Lycius–Cute Show, Secretariat

Fast Pike                           03W3,500                      W        3×3 File

Pikepass–Range, Cox’s Ridge

Rubiano’s Music             03Y22,000                     W        5x5x4 Raise You

Rubiano–Overture, Forty Niner

Cottonwood Falls            04Y4,200                       PL       4×4 South Ocean

Black Minnaloushe–O Linda, Southern Halo

Buddy and Ben                04Y10,000                      W       5×4 Alanesian

Leestown–Lucky House, Lucky North

Shiper                                04Y6,700                        UP       4×3 Raise You

Lycius–Cute Show, Secretariat

Ivanna Vodka                  04Y35,000                      PL       4×5 Gay Hostess

Malagra–Genesis Effect, I’m a Lyre

Fast Pike                           04Y4,500                         W        3×3 File

Pikepass–Range, Cox’s Ridge

Tough Angel                   04T48,000                       W        5x5x5 Natalma

Tiger Ridge–Maple Sundae, Irgun

Timber Hunt                  04Y20,000                       W        5×5 Raise You

Wagon Limit–Fiddle, Pine Bluff

My Secrets Out              05Y1,000                          UP      5×4 Raise You

All Gone–Diablo’s Secret, Diablo

Catienus Princess          05Y7,200                          PL       5x5x5 Natalma

Catienus–Starlite Saphire, D’Accord

Narcissistic                     05Y5,500                          UP        4×5 Raise You

Cloud Hopping–Over the Clover, Capote

Time Cutter                    05Y30,000                        UR       5x4x4 Natalma

Concerto–Maple Lyph, Lyphard

French Diplomat           05W2,000                          W        5×5 Natalma

French Envoy–Skip Bail, Skip Trial

Reata’s Shadow              05Y15,000                         W         3×3 Hay Patcher

Include–Ingenuity Joan, Valley Crossing

Buddy and Ben               05T21,000                        W         5×4 Alanesian

Leestown–Lucky House, Lucky North

Rebirth                             05Y30,000                        W        4×5 Gay Hostess

Malagra–Genesis Effect, I’m a Lyre

Completely                      05Y3,000                           W        5×5 Raise You

Mutakddim–Shining Wings, Silver Hawk

unnamed                         05Y1,300                            UR      2×3 Olympic Moment

Olympic Native–Marvelous Memory, Raise a Champion

Native Victory                 05Y8,750                           UR       2×3 Olympic Moment

Olympic Native–Victory Moment, Victory Speech

Bless the Tiger                05W15,000                        W        4×4 South Ocean

Tiger Ridge–In Honour Of, Honour and Glory

Timber Hunt                   05T72,000                         W         5×5 Raise You

Wagon Limit–Fiddle, Pine Bluff

My Secrets Out                06T7,500                          UP        5×4 Raise You

All Gone–Diablo’s Secret, Diablo

Rebel Radio                      06W140,000                    W         5×4 Raise You

Came Home–Visual Art, Deputy Minister

Prayer of Faith                 06W32,000                      UR       4×5 South Ocean

City Place–Lakeside Terrace, Major Impact

French Diplomat              06Y13,000                        W         5×5 Natalma

French Envoy–Skip Bail, Skip Trial

One Oak                              06Y360,000                    UP        4×5 Natalma

Galileo–Beat It, Diesis

Reata’s Shadow                 06T105,000                      W         3×4 Hay Patcher

Include–Ingenuity Joan, Valley Crossing

El Legado                            06Y47,000                        W         5×4 Reason to Earn

Jump Start–Enduring Legacy, Saint Ballado

Kate’s Kiss                           06Y2,500                          PL        4×4 Raise You

Our Emblem–Lady Beaver Brook, Magloire

Marie’s Plan                        06Y30,000                        W        5×4 South Ocean

Snow Ridge–Goldie’s Wish, Swain

K. Boy                                   06W9,000                         W        5x4x4 Natalma

Tiger Ridge–Maple Lyph, Lyphard

Bless the Tiger                    06Y10,000                         W        4×4 South Ocean

Tiger Ridge–In Honour Of, Honour and Glory

Fleeting Humor                  07W200,000                    W         5×5 Raise You

Distorted Humor–Fly Borboleta, Pulpit

Theorist                                07Y155,000                      UP        5x5x5 Raise You

Distorted Humor–Two Punch Lil, Two Punch

Liberty Highway                 07Y200,000                     UR        5×4 Natalma

Giant’s Causeway–Drums Of Freedom, Green Forest

Niko’s Fire                            07Y55,000                        PL       4×5 South Ocean

Hennessy–Webee, Kingmambo

Skip N Glide                        07Y4,000                           W        5×5 Natalma

Honor Glide–Skip Bail, Skip Trial

Cinesina                               07Y12,000                         W        5×4 Foggy Note

Officer–Hong Kong Jade, Alysheba

Stormovthpanhandle        07Y5,000                           UP      5×5 Natalma

Storm and a Half–Gorgeous Princess, Cure the Blues

Atlantic Halo                      07Y50,000                         UR      4×5 South Ocean

Stormy Atlantic–Megan’s Halo, Jules

Pattern C (Not Stakes Winners)

Asia Winter                             03Y2,500          W         3×3 Cold Hearted

Awad–Syrian Winter, Damascus

Ice Is Nice                               03T2,500           PL       3×4 Cold Hearted

Awad–Syrian Winter, Damascus

Lady Erma                              03Y4,550           UR      4×4 Cosmah

Captain Bodgit–Lady Sucree, Miner’s Mark

Shakoha                                  03Y7,000            W       5×4 Alanesian

Chief Seattle–Eternal Wave, Gulch

Andwho’syourdaddy            03Y28,000         PL       5×5 Nothirdchance

Devil His Due–Hunt’s Corner, Silver Ghost

Suspicious Halo                    03Y7,000            W       5×4 Nothirdchance

Devil His Due–Suspicious Toosome, Secretariat

Daredevil Hero                      03T13,000          W      4×5 Cosmah

Devil His Due–Justified, Roanoke

Antaios                                    03Y17,000          W      4×4 Gold Digger

Elusive Quality–Dau Dau de Dau, Dauphin Fabuleux

Elusive Glory                          03T20,000         W      4×4 Gold Digger

Elusive Quality–Dau Dau de Dau, Dauphin Fabuleux

Dancing Dorothy                   03Y80,000         W       3×3 Terlingua

Forestry–C’Mon Let’s Dance, Alleged

Colonial Time                         03T25,000         UR      4×5 Kerala

Gilded Time–Colony Babe, Pleasant Colony

Just a Little Kip                      03Y2,500             W       5x5x5 My Dear Girl

Kelly Kip–Bonus Double, Breeders Bonus

Bulita                                        03Y11,100          SPW     3×3 Mississippi Mud

Knockadoon–Belle Buoy, Two Punch

Coach Scarpa                          03Y50,000           W       5×4 Raise You

Lord Carson–Pielet, Avatar

Jet G Amour                           03W2,500             W      3×3 Pas de Nom

Lost Soldier–Encore Amour, Affirmed

Wicked Fun                            03Y1,100               UR     4×5 Raise You

Manlove–Not Any Lass, Cutlass

Mazel Power                          03Y22,000             W       4×3 Kankakee Miss

Mazel Trick–Bay Colony, Storm Bird

Blake’s Passion                     03Y28,000              W       3×4 Cosmah

Saint Ballado–Lotka, Danzig

Scarlet Begonia                     03Y42,000              W       3×3 Mint Copy

Salt Lake–Madame Jumel, D’Accord

Saltam                                     03Y11,000               W       3×4 Mint Copy

Salt Lake–Miss T J, Personal Flag

Justamoment                         03T3,000                W       3×4 Ciboulette

Struggler–Moment of Pleasure, Timeless Moment

Tour d’Eyes                            03Y4,000                UR      3×3 Fanfreluche

Tour d’Or–Caught My Eye, Hansel

Wekiva Sun                            03T15,000               W       2×3 Jetting Angel

Wekiva Springs–Simply Love Me, Simply Majestic

Jumping Doll                         03Y210,000           UR       4×4 Cosmah

Yankee Victor–Lovely Nedra, Irish Tower

Shoot the Bugler                   03Y13,000                W       4×4 Missy Baba

Yes It’s True–Sinful Devotion, Lear Fan

Ma Jouet                                 03Y2,200                 PL       4×4 Missy Baba

Yes It’s True–Something Sleazy, Cure the Blues

Tuff Tiger                                04Y3,000                  W       5x5x5 Kerala

Afternoon Deelites–Tiger Gal, Hermitage

Maltese Girl                            04T60,000              PL       3×4 Too Bald

Boston Harbor–Silence of Night, Bluebird

Not That Innocent                04W5,000                UP       4×4 South Ocean

Cat Thief–Call Me Pretty, Peaks and Valleys

Clever Whatever                    04Y7,000                 UP      3×4 Shenanigans

Clever Trick–Just for Laughs, Proud Truth

Wine N Wishes                      04T10,000                W      2×4 Swiftybyrd

Derby Wish–Wine n Seattle, Seattle Knight

Antaios                                    04T33,000                W      4×4 Gold Digger

Elusive Quality–Dau Dau de Dau, Dauphin Fabuleux

Dancing Dorothy                   04T130,000              W      3×3 Terlingua

Forestry–C’Mon Let’s Dance, Alleged

Washington Street                04W450,000             PL      5×4 Natalma

Giant’s Causeway–Esther Rose, Seeking the Gold

Privatelyexcessive                 04Y2,200                    UP     3×3 Indian Call

In Excess–Private Honey, Private Account

Just a Little Kip                     04T7,500                    W       5x5x5 My Dear Girl

Kelly Kip–Bonus Double, Breeders Bonus

Brendolyn                               04Y50,000                 W       3×3 Mississippi Mud

Knockadoon–Belle Buoy, Two Punch

Aleczanndar                           04Y3,000                    W       4×5 Raise You

Line In The Sand–Catch Sunny, Sunny Clime

Miss Syria                               04Y40,000                 UP       3×4 Bold Princess

Louis Quatorze–Unsaddled, Pancho Villa

Love Trick                               04T55,000                  W        4×3 Kankakee Miss

Mazel Trick–Touching Love, Touching Wood

Sharp Personality                  04T4,000                    UP       4×4 Kerala

Personal Flag–She’s Sharp Too, Sharper One

Texas Twist                              04Y100,000              UR       4×4 South Ocean

Tactical Cat–Call Me Pretty, Peaks and Valleys

Cherokee Cat                           04Y16,000                  W        3×3 Terlingua

Tactical Cat–Cherokee Ridge, A.P. Indy

Christening                              04Y40,000                 PL       5×5 Lady Angela

Vicar–Birthright, Belong to Me

True Freedom                         04W80,000                W       4×4 Missy Baba

Yes It’s True–Banker’s Bet, Majestic Light

Tuff Tiger                                 05T8,500                    W       5x5x5 Kerala

Afternoon Deelites–Tiger Gal, Hermitage

Saint Water                             05Y4,000                    UR      2×3 Change Water

Allen’s Prospect–Sea View Picture, Pirate’s Bounty

Not That Innocent                 o5Y2,000                    UP      4×4 South Ocean

Cat Thief–Call Me Pretty, Peaks and Valleys

Polish World                           05Y550,000                W       3×4 Natalma

Danzig–Welcometotheworld, Woodman

Endless Dust                           05W40,000                 W      3×4 Gold Digger

E Dubai–Dream Motel, Relaunch

Jo Irish Luck                           05Y2,500                     UR      5×5 Raise You

Golden Gear–Sally’s Irish Luck, Lucky North

Privatelyexcessive                  05T1,200                      UP      3×3 Indian Call

In Excess–Private Honey, Private Account

Sir Lady Lee                             05Y4,400                     UR      2×4 Regent’s Walk

Marquetry–Marque Gal, Sir Cat

Kentucky Twostep                   05W2,200                    W       4×3 Terlingua

Menifee–C’Mon Let’s Dance, Alleged

Wapiti                                        05Y35,000                    W       2×3 Anne Campbell

Menifee–La Sarto, Cormorant

Miss Millie                                05Y2,200                      UP      4×4 Killaloe

Millennium Wind–Antique Show, Silver Deputy

Tau Tona                                   05W350,000                UP     4×3 My Charmer

Mineshaft–Karasavina, Sadler’s Wells

Eager Lover                              05Y18,000                      W       4×4 Cosmah

More Than Ready–True Love, Affirmed

Lilly Dust                                  05Y5,700                         W       5×5 Kerala

Old Topper–White Truffle, Dehere

Top Class                                  05Y1,600,000                W       4x5x5 Natalma

Storm Cat–Simadartha, Gone West

Egyptian Queen                       05Y3,800,000              UR      3×4 South Ocean

Storm Cat–Warrior Queen, Quiet American

Pedalonthemetal                     05Y9,000                        W       4×5 Cosmah

Straight Man–Cielamour, Conquistador Cielo

Optical Illusion                        05Y200,000                   W       2×3 Tree of Knowledge

Theatrical–Paradise River, Irish River

Soothing Touch                       05Y550,000                    PL       5x5x5 Natalma

Touch Gold–Glia, A.P. Indy

Street Hustle                            05W15,000                      W       3×3 Bushel-n-Peck

Wild Wonder–Kingdom’s Princess, Meadowlake

Go for Brook                            05Y35,000                       W        4×5 Cosmah

Yankee Victor–Lake Huron, Salt Lake

True Freedom                          05Y92,000                       W       4×4 Missy Baba

Yes It’s True–Banker’s Bet, Majestic Light

Cat Ridge Road                        05Y80,000                      PL      4×4 Missy Baba

Yes It’s True–Sinful Devotion, Lear Fan

Baalbeck                                    05W5,500                        W       5×4 Shenanigans

Zavata–Just for Laughs, Proud Truth

Get the Drift                             06W18,000                     UR      5×5 Raise You

Canadian Frontier–Rationale, Gilded Time

Not That Innocent                  06T12,000                       UP       4×4 South Ocean

Cat Thief–Call Me Pretty, Peaks and Valleys

Deputy Caton                           06Y1,700                         UP        5×5 Alanesian

Dr. Caton–Waltzing, Dehere

Emperice                                   06Y600,000                   UR       5×4 Gold Digger

Empire Maker–Ruby Ransom, Red Ransom

Lake Capote                               06Y2,000                         W       3×3 Suspicious Native

Greenwood Lake–Lake Weir, Capote

Graven Angel                            06Y45,000                       UR      2×3 Sugar’s Image

Halo’s Image–Cliche, Pentelicus

Triple Trick                               06T37,000                       UP       4×4 Kankakee Miss

Mazel Trick–Better Be Sure, Diesis

Kentucky Twostep                   06Y40,000                       W        4×3 Terlingua

Menifee–C’Mon Let’s Dance, Alleged

Montana Mike                          06Y37,500                        W        3×3 Ride the Trails

Mizzen Mast–Oops, Silver Deputy

Faber                                          06Y2,500                          W        4×5 Kerala

Private Terms–Kobemon, Maria’s Mon

Repented                                   06W8,000                        UP       5×4 Bold Princess

Repent–Reeyre, Regal Remark

Wardyan                                    06Y30,000                        W        5×4 Bold Princess

Repent–Reeyre, Regal Remark

Poor to Fair                               06Y8,034                           W        5×5 Nothirdchance

Rock and Roll–Toosome Bluff, Pine Bluff

The Honorable                         06Y110,000                       UP       3×3 Natalma

Sadler’s Wells–Bonita Francita, Devil’s Bag

Skip a Rose                               06Y5,000                           GSP      3×3 Looks Promising

Skip Away–Promising Reliant, Pembroke

Desired                                      06Y2,200,000                    PL       3×4 South Ocean

Storm Cat–Warrior Queen, Quiet American

Street Hustle                            06Y40,000                          W        3×3 Bushel-n-Peck

Wild Wonder–Kingdom’s Princess, Meadowlake

True Freedom                          06T150,000                        W         4×4 Missy Baba

Yes It’s True–Banker’s Bet, Majestic Light

Baalbeck                                    06Y15,000                           W        5×4 Shenanigans

Zavata–Just for Laughs, Proud Truth

unnamed                                   06Y10,011                           UR       4×3 Kankakee Miss

Zavata–Pelican Strip, Comic Strip

My Hearts Delight                   07W2,200                           UR       3×3 Never Knock

Albert the Great–Moscow Tap, Moscow Ballet

Timbaa                                       07Y17,000                           PL        4x5x5 Natalma

Anabaa–Timber Ice, Woodman

Hannah’s Lady Mist                07Y500                                 UP      5×5 Raise You

Big Sky Chester–Mist On Moon Hill, Double Honor

Yes Chief Yes                             07Y11,000                            UR      5×4 Alanesian

Chief Seattle–Uncharted Waters, Blushing John

Ibn Al Nafis                               07Y1,900,000                       W       4×4 Gold Digger

Distorted Humor–Stormy Bear, Storm Cat

Record Holder                          07Y17,000                             UR      5×4 Natalma

Giant’s Causeway–Esther Rose, Seeking the Gold

Giant Jake                                 07Y350,000                          UR      5x5x5 Natalma

Giant’s Causeway–Heraklia, Irish River

Victory Lane                             07Y200,000                           W       5×4 Natalma

Giant’s Causeway–Houdini’s Honey, Mr. Prospector

Lake Capote                              07T4,700                                W        3×3 Suspicious Native

Greenwood Lake–Lake Weir, Capote

Silver Black                               07W160,000                        GSP      4×4 South Ocean

Hennessy–High Maintenance, Danehill

Storm Lady F                           07T10,000                               W        3×3 Terlingua

Hold That Tiger–Cherokee Ridge, A.P. Indy

Pretty Caroline                        07Y60,000                              UP       4×3 Terlingua

Johannesburg–Cherokee Ridge, A.P. Indy

Foxy Frauline                          07Y4,500                                  W         4×5 Raise You

Mancini–Sally’s Sweep, End Sweep

Montana Mike                        07T180,000                             W          3×3 Ride the Trails

Mizzen Mast–Oops, Silver Deputy

Repented                                 07Y12,000                                UP        4×5 Bold Princess

Repent–Reeyre, Regal Remark

Siberian Autumn                   07Y7,000                                   W         3×4 Indian Call

Siberian Summer–Our Blue Ribbon, Prized

Miswaki Bay                           07Y9,000                                  UP        4×4 Natalma

Sligo Bay–Touch My Soul, Miswaki

Princess Medelys                  07Y55,000                                 UR       2×3 Halory

Van Nistlerooy–You’ve Got Mitch, Tossofthecoin

I found 163 foals with Pattern A. They sold for a gross of $9,488,349, an avergae of $58,211 (compared to the overall average of $54,140), and a maverage of 184.10 (compared to the overall maverage of 163.11).

I found 43 foals with Pattern B. They sold for a gross of $1,842,150, an average of $42,841 (compared to the overall average of $54,140), and a maverage of 156.05 (compared to the overall maverage of 163.11).

I found 115 foals with Pattern C. They sold for a gross of $18,738,505, an average of $162,944 (compared to the overall average of $54,140), and a maverage of 217.75 (compared to the overall maverage of 163.11).

Pattern C was by far the most expensive. It included the following nags sold for $1,000,000 or more: Indigo Cat (stakes winner, $2,600,000 as a yearling in 2003), Egyptian Queen ($3,800,000 as a yearling in 2005), Desired ($2,200,000 as a yearling in 2006), Ibn Al Nafis ($1,900,000 as a yearling in 2007), and Top Class ($1,600,000 as a yearling in 2005).

Pattern A and Pattern B did not include any nags sold for $1,000,000 or more. Pattern B was below the overall average and maverage. Pattern A was above the overall average and maverage (considerably above the latter).

So in terms of racing results, Pattern C should have been best, followed by Pattern A and Pattern B. And that was exactly the case.

Pattern B had ZERO stakes winners from 43 foals. So much for the power of duplicating FULL siblings. Enough said.

Pattern A had six stakes winners from 163 foals (3.68%, above the overall figure of 3.36%). Those six stakes winners were not particularly good though. They averaged only 508 Performance Points each (compared to the overall average of 603). Taking both quantity and quality of stakes winners into account, that translated into a PPI (result) of 0.923 (overall average of 1.00). Not particularly good, especially since their average and maverage were ABOVE the overall figures.

Pattern C had seven stakes winners from 115 foals (6.09%, well above the overall figure of 3.36%). Those seven stakes winners were pathetically weak though (Performance Points of 668, 350, 331, 324, 249, 165, and 157). The overall average is 603. Hence taking both quantity and quality of stakes winners into account, that translated into a PPI (result) of 0.964 (overall average of 1.00). So yes, Pattern C was the best of the three patterns, but it was still below the overall average (1.00), which was not good at all considering its extremely high prices.

I found it particularly amusing that Pattern C had the best results despite being the one pattern of the three considered to be not significant (because it involved half siblings instead of full siblings; and the full siblings had ZERO stakes winners from 43 foals). But the best results of Pattern C were really not that good considering its extremely high prices.

“The question really is: ‘How many coins must one place in a slot machine before a jackpot finally appears?’ ” So concluded the chapter on this subject in Racehorse Breeding Theories. The answer to that question with regard to these three particular patterns of RF inbreeding is “a XXXX of a lot MORE than if you just injected coins randomly.”

Pedigree gurus have searched and searched for that one particular pattern of inbreeding that will yield the alchemy of “magical” results, that will transform base metals into gold, that will hit the jackpot in slot machines much more often than statistically expected. They have not found it yet. They never will.

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3 Responses to Rasmussen Factor, Inbreeding Patterns

  1. jim culpepper says:

    The reproductive math of species like the horse, militate against successful inbreeding, not to mention that what thoroughbred breeders call inbreeding barely passes for linebreeding and just as you point out, is sufficiently removed from any key ancestor to insure mediocre results. King Ranch successfully used “industrial scale” linebreeding to produce what is loosely called quarter horses and the number of culls is mind boggling. There are some examples of breeders getting away with close matings such as the stallion Janus; however, only species which produce hordes of offspring which can be progeny tested without bankruptcy lend themselves to it. My European Large White sows could produce twenty to thirty offspring per year which allowed at least a few 0ne percenters to be used subsequently. Almost impossible with thoroughbreds, even without the increase of unfavorable recessives.

    • ddink55 says:

      Those are all good reasons why “inbreeding” does not particularly work with Thoroughbreds. I will leave it up to you to explain WHY. My job is to hammer home that it does NOT. Because so many people seem to “think” that it DOES, that “inbreeding” explains EVERYTHING.

  2. Pingback: Friar’s Carse Female Line | Boojum's Bonanza

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