Last time out I presented some statistics on foals by A.P. Indy himself versus foals of Storm Cat himself among sales foals of 2003-2007. The former was considerably better than the latter.
Another sire from that time period with very good racing results from his sales foals was Distorted Humor. His first crop arrived in 2000 and included Funny Cide, winner of the 2003 Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes and champion three-year-old. Funny Cide sold for $22,000 as a yearling in 2001, when Distorted Humor’s 32 yearlings sold for an average of $36,653 and a median of $21,000.
In 2003, after Funny Cide had won the Derby and Preakness, Distorted Humor’s 38 yearlings sold for an average of $103,684 and a median of $45,000. By 2007, those numbers had grown considerably, to 49 yearlings sold for an average of $394,163 and a median of $300,000.
All told, Distorted Humor had 332 sales foals of 2003-2007 (including weanlings and two-year-olds as well as yearlings). They were not cheap (especially in the latter years), selling for a maverage of 412.03 (compared to the overall maverage of 163.11) and a Price Index of 2.53 (1.00 being average).
Funny Cide is not included in this group, having sold in 2001. Neither is 2011 BC Classic winner Drosselmeyer, who sold for $600,000 as a yearling in 2008. The two best stakes winners for Distorted Humor among these 332 sales foals were Hystericalady (4,591 Performance Points) and Any Given Saturday (2,184).
Hystericalady was out of Sacramentada, a Chilean-bred mare by Northair, and sold for $100,000 as a weanling in 2003 and for $125,000 as a yearling in 2004. Any Given Saturday was out of Weekend in Indy, by A.P. Indy, and sold for $1,100,000 as a yearling in 2005.
Included among these 332 foals were 30 stakes winners (9.04%, well above the overall average of 3.39%). And those 30 stakes winners were pretty good collectively, with an average of 678 Performance Points apiece (above the overall average of 608). These 332 foals had a PPI (result) of 2.97, compared to their Price Index of 2.53.
So they sold for prices about 153% above average and achieved results about 197% above average. Any time you outperform your prices, you are doing very well. These results look particularly good compared to those of the 140 foals by Storm Cat himself (Price Index of 5.17 and PPI of only 2.27).
Distorted Humor was a son of Forty Niner. The other sons (and a few grandsons) of Forty Niner did not fare nearly as well as Distorted Humor. Not including the 332 foals by Distorted Humor himself, there were another 2,396 foals from the Forty Niner male line in this group. These 2,396 foals were pretty cheap, selling for a maverage of 117.71 and a Price Index of 0.72.
So they sold for prices below average and should have had racing results below average as well. They did. Included among these 2,396 foals were 76 stakes winners (3.17%, not too far below the overall average of 3.39%). However, these 76 stakes winners were not a good group collectively. They averaged only 413 Performance Points apiece (compared to the overall average of 608). Not one of these 76 stakes winners achieved 2,000+ Performance Points.
These 2,396 foals had a PPI (result) of 0.64. It was that low based mainly on the quality of the stakes winners, not necessarily the quantity. So they had a Price Index of 0.72 and a result of 0.64. Not very far off but in the wrong direction. They sold for prices about 28% below average and achieved results about 36% below average.
Perhaps this just serves to illustrate that you really cannot expect a sire to have more than one really good son. With all due respect to Trippi and a few others, in the case of Forty Niner, it was Distorted Humor first, the rest nowhere.
Interestingly, if you combine the 332 foals by Distorted Humor with the 2,396 other foals from the Forty Niner male line, you get 2,728 foals with a maverage of 153.53, a Price Index of 0.94, and a PPI (result) of 0.92. As the old exression goes, you get pretty much what you pay for.
Forty Niner of course was by Mr. Prospector. Another scion of this male line is Unbridled (by Fappiano, by Mr. Prospector). In terms of male lines, Unbridled is relatively young and just getting established. Therefore, I thought his results might be of some interest to readers.
There were 2,579 foals in this group from the Unbridled male line. They were not exactly cheap, selling for a maverage of 223.65 and a Price Index of 1.37. So they sold for prices above average and should have had results above average as well.
They certainly produced their share of the best stakes winners, including six with 2,000+ Performance Points: Unbridled Belle (3,310), Pioneerof the Nile (3,034), Mine That Bird (3,029), Unrivaled Belle (2,855), Octave (2,761), and Thorn Song (2,433).
Unbridled Belle was by Broken Vow out of Little Bold Belle, by Silver Buck, and sold for $4,000 as a yearling in 2004. Pioneer of the Nile was by Empire Maker out of Star of Goshen, by Lord At War, and sold for $290,000 as a yearling in 2007. Mine That Bird was by Birdstone out of Mining My Own, by Smart Strike, and sold for $9,500 as a yearling in 2007. Unrivaled Belle was by Unbridled’s Song out of Queenie Belle, by Bertrando, and sold for $260,000 as a yearling in 2007. Octave was by Unbridled’s Song out of Belle Nuit, by Dr. Carter, and sold for $350,000 as a yearling in 2005. Thorn Song was by Unbridled’s Song out of Festal, by Storm Bird, and sold for $160,000 as a yearling in 2004 and for $200,000 as a two-year-old in 2005.
Three of the six were by Unbridled’s Song, far and away the best son of Unbridled at stud. Broken Vow and Empire Maker were sons of Unbridled. Birdstone was by Grindstone, by Unbridled.
These 2,579 foals did achieve results above average, at least in absolute terms. Included among these 2,579 foals were 97 stakes winners (3.76%, above the overall average of 3.39%). Those 97 stakes winners were pretty good collectively as well, averaging 702 Performance Points apiece (above the overall average of 608). These 2,579 foals had a PPI (result) of 1.28, compared to their Price Index of 1.37. They sold for prices about 37% above average and achieved results about 28% above average. The two numbers are close but in the wrong direction.
In terms of a letter grade, if the two numbers (PPI and Price Index) are the same, I would give that a “B.” In the case of the Unbridled male line, the former is a tad lower than the latter. I would have to give it a “B–.”
There are many other branches of the Mr. Prospector male line yet to be examined. I will resume next time out with Gone West.