The Rest of the Mr. Prospector and Raise a Native Tribe

Last time out I concluded with Unbridled, who of course was by Fappiano, by Mr. Prospector. So I pick up today’s discussion with Fappiano.

There were 1,381 foals in the Fappiano male line (NOT including the 2,579 foals in the Unbridled male line) among these sales foals of 2003-2007. Those 1,381 foals sold pretty cheaply, for a maverage of 129.46 (compared to the overall maverage of 163.11) and a Price Index of 0.79 (1.00 being average).

Listed below are the six stakes winners with 2,000+ Performance Points from the Fappiano male line.

Midnight Lute (4,o91 Performance Points, Real Quiet–Candytuft, Dehere, sold for $70,000 as a yearling in 2004), Jonesboro (3,051, Sefapiano–Mom’s Command, Top Command, sold for $27,000 as a yearling in 2003), Seattle Smooth (2,501, Quiet American–Our Seattle Star, Seattle Song, sold for $340,000 as a yearling in 2006), Pussycat Doll (2,297, Real Quiet–Hookedonthefeelin, Citidancer, sold for $100,000 as a yearling in 2003), Naughty New Yorker (2,290, Quiet American–Naughty Natisha, Known Fact, sold for $145,000 as a two-year-old in 2004), Capt. Candyman Can (2,190, Candy Ride–Stormy Way, Storm Creek, sold for $25,000 as a yearling in 2007).

Two of these six were by Quiet America, a son of Fappiano. Two were by Real Quiet, a son of Quiet American. Jonesboro was by Sefapiano, by Fappiano. Capt. Candyman Can was by Candy Ride, by Ride the Rails, by Cryptoclearance, by Fappiano.

These 1,381 foals produced much better results than indicated by their prices. Included among these 1,381 foals were 39 stakes winners (2.82%, below the overall figure of 3.39%). Those 39 stakes winners were a pretty good group collectively though, earning an average of 831 Performance Points apiece (much higher than the overall average of 608).

These 1,381 foals had a PPI (result) of 1.14, mainly on the quality of the stakes winners (not the quantity). Compared to their Price Index of 0.79, that is an excellent result. These 1,381 foals sold for prices about 21% BELOW average and achieved results about 14% ABOVE average. Give Fappiano an “A” for that effort.

Another son of Mr. Prospector considered to be a “sire of sires” was Gone West. There were 3,562 foals from the Gone West male line among these sales foals of 2003-2007. They were not exactly cheap either, selling for a maverage of 227.37 and a Price Index of 1.39.

Listed below are the four stakes winners with 2,000+ Performance Points from the Gone West male line.

Haynesfield (2,719 Performance Points, Speightstown–Nothing Special, Tejabo, sold for $100,000 as a yearling in 2007 and for $20,000 as a two-year-old in 2008), Miraculous Miss (2,032, Mr. Greeley–No Small Miracle, Silver Deputy, sold for $65,000 as a yearling in 2004 and for $350,000 as a two-year-old in 2005), Adieu (2,008, El Corredor–Irene’s Talkin, At the Threshold, sold for $140,000 as a yearling in 2004 and for $300,000 as a two-year-old in 2005), Lord Shanakill (2,008, Speightstown–Green Room, Theatrical, sold for $100,000 as a yearling in 2007).

Speightstown is a son of Gone West. Mr. Greeley was a son of Gone West. El Corredor is a son of Mr. Greeley.

These 3,562 foals did not produce results commensurate with their prices. Included among these 3,562 foals were 109 stakes winners (3.06%, below the overall figure of 3.39%). And these 109 stakes winners were not a particularly good group collectively either, averaging only 557 Performance Points apiece (below the overall average of 608).

So these 3,562 foals had a PPI (result) of 0.83, well below their Price Index of 1.39. They sold for prices about 39% ABOVE average and produced results about 17% BELOW average. Give Gone West an “F” for that effort.

Carson City was another son of Mr. Prospector with a reputation as a “sire of sires.” I probably should have tracked him individually, but alas, I did not. The Carson City male line is included among the 10,865 foals I have classified as all other Mr. Prospector, along with 741 foals from the Gulch male line and 588 foals from the Seeking the Gold male line.

Listed in the three paragraphs below are the 17 stakes winners with 2,000+ Performance Points from these 10,865 foals I have classified as all other Mr. Prospector.

Curlin (13,802, Smart Strike–Sherriff’s Deputy, Deputy Minister, sold for $57,000 as a yearling in 2005), Zenyatta (13,705, Street Cry–Vertigineux, Kris S., sold for $60,000 as a yearling in 2005), English Channel (8,219, Smart Strike–Belva, Theatrical, sold for $50,000 as a yearling in 2003), Court Vision (6,547, Gulch–Weekend Storm, Storm Bird, sold for $180,000 as a yearling in 2006 and for $350,000 as a two-year-old in 2007), Kip Deville (5,925, Kipling–Klondike Kaytie, Encino, sold for $20,000 as a yearling in 2004), Afleet Alex (4,666, Northern Afleet–Maggy Hawk, Hawkster, sold for $75,000 as a two-year-old in 2004).

Showing Up (3,161, Strategic Mission–Miss Alethia, T. V. Commercial, sold for $83,500 as a yearling in 2004 and for $60,000 as a two-year-old in 2005), Never Retreat (3,099, Smart Strike–Lisieux, Steady Growth, sold for $410,000 as a yearling in 2006), Balance (2,648, Thunder Gulch–Vertigineux, Kris S., sold for $260,000 as a yearling in 2004), Ravalo (2,522, Mutakddim–Momentary Hope, Southern Halo, sold for $30,000 as a yearling in 2005), Roman Ruler (2,521, Fusaichi Pegasus–Silvery Swan, Silver Deputy, sold for $500,000 as a yearling in 2003), Diabolical (2,467, Artax–Bonnie Byerly, Dayjur, sold for $62,000 as a yearling in 2004 and for $300,000 as a two-year-old in 2005).

Pollard’s Vision (2,330, Carson City–Etats Unis, Dixieland Band, sold for $70,000 as a two-year-old in 2003), Big City Man (2,322, Northern Afleet–Mini Appeal, Valid Appeal, sold for $30,000 as a yearling in 2006), Cosmonaut (2,298, Lemon Drop Kid–Cosmic Fire, Capote, sold for $105,000 as a yearling in 2003), Get Serious (2,217, City Zip–Java Gal, Java Gold, sold for $130,000 as a yearling in 2005), Friendly Island (2,070, Crafty Friend–Island Queen, Ogygian, sold for $85,000 as a two-year-old in 2003).

These 10,865 foals sold for a maverage of 167.32 and a Price Index of 1.03. Included among these 10,865 foals were 414 stakes winners (3.81%, above the overall figure of 3.39%). These 414 stakes winners averaged 637 Performance Points apiece (above the overall average of 608).

So these 10,865 foals had a PPI (result) of 1.18, which compares favorably with their Price Index of 1.03. They sold for prices about 3% above average and produced results about 18% above average. I give this group a “B+.”

You probably noticed that the three best stakes winners overall (Curlin, Zenyatta, and English Channel) were all in this group. Curlin and English Channel were both by Smart Strike, as well as Never Retreat (3,099). If you take Curlin and Zenyatta away from this group, its PPI is only 1.05, much closer in line with its Price Index of 1.03. That is the main reason I give this group only a “B+,” not an “A–.”

The grand totals for the Mr. Prospector male line are 21,115 foals: 2,728 from the Forty Niner male line (including 332 by Distorted Humor himself), 3,562 from the Gone West nale line, 2,579 from the Unbridled male line, 1,381 from the Fappiano male line, and 10,865 from all other Mr. Prospector male lines.

Those 21,115 foals sold for a maverage of 180.07 and a Price Index of 1.10. Included among these 21,115 foals were 765 stakes winners (3.62%, above the overall figure of 3.39%). These 765 stakes winners averaged 623 Performance Points apiece, above the overall average of 608.

So these 21,115 foals had a PPI (result) of 1.09 (1.0947, to be precise). That is very close to their Price Index of 1.10 (1.102, to be precise), earning this group a solid “B.” As the old expression goes, you get pretty much what you pay for.

Mr. Prospector was by Raise a Native of course. There were another 1,250 foals from the Raise a Native male line (NOT through Mr. Prospector). These 1,250 foals were cheap, selling for a maverage of 143.74 and a Price Index of 0.88. Included among those 1,250 foals were 40 stakes winners (3.2%, slightly below the overall figure of 3.39%). Those 40 stakes winners were pretty good collectively, averaging 732 Performance Points apiece, well above the overall average of 608.

So these 1,250 foals had a PPI (result) of 1.14, which compares quite favorably with their Price Index of 0.88. They sold for prices about 12% BELOW average and produced results about 14% ABOVE average.

Listed below are the three stakes winners among these 1,250 foals with 2,000+ Performance Points.

Wait a While (5,382, Maria’s Mon–Flirtatious, A.P. Indy, sold for $50,000 as a yearling in 2004 and for $260,000 as a two-year-old in 2005), Informed Decision (5,014, Monarchos–Palangana, His Majesty, sold for $150,000 as a yearling in 2006 and for $320,000 as a two-year-old in 2007), Brother Derek (3,311, Benchmark–Miss Soft Sell, Siyah Kalem, sold for $150,000 as a yearling in 2004 and for $275,000 as a two-year-0old in 2005).

Benchmark was by Alydar, by Raise a Native. Maria’s Mon was by Wavering Monarch, by Majestic Light, by Majestic Prince, by Raise a Native. Monarchos was by Maria’s Mon. I strongly suspect that these good results are mainly attributable to Maria’s Mon.

To recapitulate, Fappiano had good results from low prices (“A”), and Gone West had poor results from high prices (“F”). The Mr. Prospector line overall (all 21,115 foals) had a Price Index of 1.10 and a PPI of 1.09, an extremely rational result.

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