Grey Flight requires no introduction and was mentioned in my last post as the dam of Misty Morn. Listed below are the nine stakes winners among sales foals of 2003-2007 tracing to Grey Flight in the female family. Listed for each is its number of Performance Points, its pedigree (sire-dam, broodmare sire), the daughter of Grey Flight involved, the generation in which Grey Flight appears, and the sales information. Discussion resumes after the list below.
Headache (1,320 Performance Points, Tapit–Pamric, Woodman, Misty Morn, 7th, sold for $85,000 as a yearling in 2007).
Soapy Danger (787, Danzig–On a Soapbox, Mi Cielo, Misty Morn, 6th, sold for $270,000 as a yearling in 2004).
Mizzcan’tbewrong (552, Mizzen Mast–Something Wicked, Chimes Band, Bold Princess, 6th, sold for $20,000 as a yearling in 2006.
Maoineach (541, Congaree–Trepidation, Seeking the Gold, Misty Morn, 7th, sold for $165,000 as a yearling in 2007).
Tiz Now Tiz Then (512, Tiznow–Trepidation, Seeking the Gold, Misty Morn, 7th, sold for $110,000 as a yearling in 2006).
Jump On In (477, Jump Start–Lucky’n Loved, Fire Maker, Pleasant Flight, 4th, sold for $45,000 as a yearling in 2005 and $237,500 as a two-year-old in 2006).
Crustaceo (324, Royal Anthem–Regal Grant, Mr. Prospector, Misty Morn, 6th, sold for $14,000 as a yearling in 2003).
In Te Domine (236, Freud–Luminate, A.P. Indy, Pleasant Flight, 5th, sold for $11,000 as a weanling in 2007).
Lady Countdown (224, Captain Countdown–Lady Showtime, Pembroke, Misty Morn, 6th, sold for $6,500 as a yearling in 2007).
Grey Flight was a 1945 filly by Mahmoud out of Planetoid, by Ariel. Grey Flight posted a record of 35-12-9-6 for earnings of $68,990 and an SSI of 7.11. She won the Autumn Day Stakes and placed in six stakes.
At stud Grey Flight produced 15 foals, all starters, 14 winners, and nine stakes winners. The best of those nine stakes winners was champion Misty Morn (1952 filly by Princequillo). The others were Full Flight (1951 gelding by Ambiorix), Gray Phantom (1953 colt by Ambiorix), Misty Flight (1955 colt by Princequillo), Misty Day (1958 colt by Nasrullah), Bold Princess (1960 filly by Bold Ruler), Bold Queen (1961 filly by Bold Ruler), Signore (1962 gelding by Ribot), and What a Pleasure (1965 colt by Bold Ruler).
Note that Grey Flight produced What a Pleasure at the age of 20. What a Pleasure won the Hopeful and National Stallion Stakes and was the leading sire of 1975-1976.
Misty Morn produced ten foals, eight starters, seven winners, and five stakes winners: Sunrise Flight (1959 colt by Double Jay), Bold Consort (1960 filly by Bold Ruler), Beautiful Day (1961 filly by Bold Ruler), Bold Lad (1962 colt by Bold Ruler), and Successor (1964 colt by Bold Ruler). Bold Lad and Successor were champion two-year-olds of 1966 and 1968 respectively.
Misty Morn was named Broodmare of the Year in 1963, even before Bold Lad and Successor made it to the track. I find it curious that Misty Morn was a Broodmare of the Year and Grey Flight was not. Many of the selections (and omissions) for Broodmare of the Year strike me as curious.
At any rate, six of the nine stakes winners listed above trace to Grey Flight through Misty Morn. Jump On In and In Te Domine trace through Pleasant Flight, and Mizzcan’tbewrong traces through Bold Princess.
Bold Princess produced three stakes winners from 11 foals: Predictable (1967 filly by Tatan), Primed (1972 colt by Pronto), and multiple G1 winner Intrepid Hero (1972 colt by Forli). Bold Princess was also the dam of important sire Sovereign Dancer (1975 colt by Northern Dancer).
Pleasant Flight was a 1969 filly by Bold Ruler out of Grey Flight. A minor winner on the track, she produced two stakes winners: G2 winner Flitalong (1976 filly by Herbager) and On a Cloud (1978 colt by Val de l’Orne). The Grey Flight family is so well known that I am not going to elaborate on its accomplishments any further.
I found 280 foals tracing to Grey Flight in the female family among these sales foals of 2003-2007. They sold for a gross of $19,321,921, an average of $69,007 (well above the overall average of $54,140), a maverage of 192.22 (well above the overall maverage of 163.11), and a Price Index of 1.18 (1.00 being average by definition).
Nine stakes winners from 280 foals is 3.21%, a bit below the overall norm of 3.41%. Those nine stakes winners averaged only 553 Performance Points apiece, well below the overall average of 615.
So taking both quantity and quality of stakes winners into account, these 280 foals had a PPI (result) of 0.85, which does not compare favorably at all to their Price Index of 1.18. They sold for prices about 18% ABOVE average and achieved results about 15% BELOW average, NOT the desired combination by any means.
You might be wondering why I go to the effort of compiling all these statistics on individual female families in the first place if most of their results are not particularly good (and Grey Flight is just about typical).
That is precisely the point. My point is that the actual results for revered names (both male and female) such as Grey Flight, et al. DO NOT HOLD UP OVER TIME. They degenerate to the norm (or worse).
All the assorted purveyors of pedigree bullshit have failed to figure this out for themselves. Partly this is because no one even TRIED to measure results from names deep in pedigrees until a few years ago. Therefore, it was just ASSUMED (wrongfully, as it turns out) that the best names produce the best results no matter how deeply in pedigrees they are buried.
Now that the methodology for measuring results from names deep in pedigree has been developed, the truth is slowly coming out. Those names DO NOT HOLD UP OVER TIME. You may not LIKE that fact. You may consider it HERESY. But a FACT it REMAINS.