Storm Cat Male Line, Kentucky Derby (continued)

If you have followed this blog from the beginning, you know that I usually post something about the Storm Cat male line in the Kentucky Derby shortly after the race each year. Here is how his male line fared in yesterday’s race.

Six of the 19 starters in yesterday’s Kentucky Derby hailed from the Storm Cat male line. The best finisher they could produce was Samraat, by Noble Causeway, by Giant’s Causeway, by Storm Cat. He finished fifth at 16-1.

The news does not get any better from there. The other five Storm Cats finished ninth through 19th. Chitu finished ninth at 25-1. Intense Holiday finished 12th at 14-1. Harry’s Holiday finished 16th at 44-1. Wildcat Red finished 18th at 18-1. Vicar’s in Trouble finished 19th and last at 20-1.

Chitu is by Henny Hughes, by Hennessy, by Storm Cat. Intense Holiday and Harry’s Holiday are both by Harlan’s Holiday, by Harlan, by Storm Cat. Wildcat Red is by D’Wildcat, by Forest Wildcat, by Storm Cat. Vicar’s in Trouble is by Into Mischief, by Harlan’s Holiday.

So the Storm Cat male line supplied more than 30% of the field yesterday and came back with ZERO. That makes the overall record for the Storm Cat male line in the Kentucky Derby 44 starts, ZERO wins, three seconds, and two thirds. Needless to say, that is NOT a particularly good record.

Last year’s post on this subject matter is hereby linked.

The first two finishers yesterday were both from the A.P. Indy male line. California Chrome is by Lucky Pulpit, by Pulpit, by A.P. Indy. (Kentucky Oaks winner Untapable is by Tapit, by Pulpit.) Commanding Curve is by Master Command, by A.P. Indy. Third-placed finisher Danza is by Street Boss, by Street Cry, by Machiavellian, by Mr. Prospector. Fourth-place finished Wicked Strong is by Hard Spun, by Danzig, by Northern Dancer (sire of Storm Bird, sire of Storm Cat).

——————————————————————————————-

“I do believe this horse (California Chrome) will win the Triple Crown. I know he will win the Kentucky Derby,” said Steve Coburn (one of the owners of California Chrome) in a recent interview.

Can anyone spell h-u-b-r-i-s?????? His hubris went unpunished yesterday, but as far as California Chrome winning the Triple Crown, do not get your hopes up too far into the stratosphere.

I say that mainly because of the final time of the race yesterday, 2:03.66 on a fast track. The only slower times in recent years were Super Saver (2:04.45 on a sloppy track), Smarty Jones (2:04.06 on a sloppy track), and Sunday Silence (2:05.00 on a muddy track). Those three were all on “off” tracks.

From there you have to go back to Cannonade in 1974 to find a slower Derby (2:04). So California Chrome won the slowest Derby on a fast track in 40 years.

For purposes of comparison, Untapable won the Oaks on Friday in 1:48.68 for nine furlongs. And Central Banker zipped seven furlongs in 1:21.15 yesterday to win the Churchill Downs Stakes. So there was nothing particularly slow about the Churchill Downs track this past weekend.

So if history is any indication, California Chrome is not a particularly good Kentucky Derby winner. But perhaps, “Time only matters when you’re in jail,” and he will go on to win the Triple Crown. I would not bet MY money on it though.

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6 Responses to Storm Cat Male Line, Kentucky Derby (continued)

  1. lesleybowen says:

    The slow time concerns me as well and Commanding Curve closed well at the end. My concern would be more that the rider let CC go too soon in the Belmont. How did he ride War Emblem? Can you recall? Main thing, California Chrome did enough to win and was blessed with a superb trip in the Derby. Can’t take that away from him even if the time was slow.

    • ddink55 says:

      Agree that it can’t be taken away from him.

      I do remember the 2002 Belmont well. War Emblem went to his knees at the start. He did not make the lead until the backstretch. He tired badly from there and finished eighth of 11. Sarava won at 70-1 over Medaglia d’Oro. The WE connections used that (poor start) as his excuse after the race. About the flimsiest excuse I have ever heard for losing a race at a mile and a half.

      WE was a one-dimensional front runner. CC appears to be much more adaptable. I do not think that CC’s problem will be tactics.

  2. Ann Maree says:

    He was geared down the final few yards. He could have shaved off 1-2 seconds easily….Victor realized he didn’t need to empty the tank…saved some for the Preakness. Too much is made of the time when he could just as easily have won by 5-6 lengths as by 1 3/4. I hear a little envy and sour grapes creeping in the remarks about the time of the race. A Kentucky blue blood he’s not, but those don’t seem to be able to clear January of the prep season. They fell this year like bowling pins. He is the only type of horse that could possibly win the Triple Crown. He may not make it, but not sure what more he has to do to prove he is the real deal. Has the most experience, got good at the right time, has been training since April last year, has never missed any work because of injury or illness, is very versatile as to where he can be placed in a race. I’m just not sure what people want in a TC horse. For myself, I intend to enjoy the ride. Life is good.

  3. ned williams says:

    Ann Maree,

    I too am going to enjoy the ride and hope CC can conquer the three races that comprise the Triple Crown. However, I have come to learn one thing about the quest. The challenge will only be met by a horse that is an absolutely superior individual. Having watched the replay multiple times, I come to a different conclusion than you. Shaving an additional one to two seconds off CC’s time would be very difficult. He had a fantastic trip, other than being 3 wide in the turn for home, I cannot imagine a better trip in the Kentucky Derby. I do not see CC being geared down in the final 1/16th. Only in the final few jumps might that case be made. While time only counts if you are doing it, CC’s final time does not suggest (to me) that he is an absolutely superior individual and I do not think a much faster time could have been accomplished. This is simply my opinion. I hope I am wrong and that CC sweeps the triple crown!

  4. Pingback: Storm Cat Male Line, Kentucky Derby (continued) | Boojum's Bonanza

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