If you have followed this blog from the beginning, you know that I usually post something about the Storm Cat male line in the Kentucky Derby shortly after the race each year. Here is how his male line fared in yesterday’s race.
Six of the 19 starters in yesterday’s Kentucky Derby hailed from the Storm Cat male line. The best finisher they could produce was Samraat, by Noble Causeway, by Giant’s Causeway, by Storm Cat. He finished fifth at 16-1.
The news does not get any better from there. The other five Storm Cats finished ninth through 19th. Chitu finished ninth at 25-1. Intense Holiday finished 12th at 14-1. Harry’s Holiday finished 16th at 44-1. Wildcat Red finished 18th at 18-1. Vicar’s in Trouble finished 19th and last at 20-1.
Chitu is by Henny Hughes, by Hennessy, by Storm Cat. Intense Holiday and Harry’s Holiday are both by Harlan’s Holiday, by Harlan, by Storm Cat. Wildcat Red is by D’Wildcat, by Forest Wildcat, by Storm Cat. Vicar’s in Trouble is by Into Mischief, by Harlan’s Holiday.
So the Storm Cat male line supplied more than 30% of the field yesterday and came back with ZERO. That makes the overall record for the Storm Cat male line in the Kentucky Derby 44 starts, ZERO wins, three seconds, and two thirds. Needless to say, that is NOT a particularly good record.
Last year’s post on this subject matter is hereby linked.
The first two finishers yesterday were both from the A.P. Indy male line. California Chrome is by Lucky Pulpit, by Pulpit, by A.P. Indy. (Kentucky Oaks winner Untapable is by Tapit, by Pulpit.) Commanding Curve is by Master Command, by A.P. Indy. Third-placed finisher Danza is by Street Boss, by Street Cry, by Machiavellian, by Mr. Prospector. Fourth-place finished Wicked Strong is by Hard Spun, by Danzig, by Northern Dancer (sire of Storm Bird, sire of Storm Cat).
“I do believe this horse (California Chrome) will win the Triple Crown. I know he will win the Kentucky Derby,” said Steve Coburn (one of the owners of California Chrome) in a recent interview.
Can anyone spell h-u-b-r-i-s?????? His hubris went unpunished yesterday, but as far as California Chrome winning the Triple Crown, do not get your hopes up too far into the stratosphere.
I say that mainly because of the final time of the race yesterday, 2:03.66 on a fast track. The only slower times in recent years were Super Saver (2:04.45 on a sloppy track), Smarty Jones (2:04.06 on a sloppy track), and Sunday Silence (2:05.00 on a muddy track). Those three were all on “off” tracks.
From there you have to go back to Cannonade in 1974 to find a slower Derby (2:04). So California Chrome won the slowest Derby on a fast track in 40 years.
For purposes of comparison, Untapable won the Oaks on Friday in 1:48.68 for nine furlongs. And Central Banker zipped seven furlongs in 1:21.15 yesterday to win the Churchill Downs Stakes. So there was nothing particularly slow about the Churchill Downs track this past weekend.
So if history is any indication, California Chrome is not a particularly good Kentucky Derby winner. But perhaps, “Time only matters when you’re in jail,” and he will go on to win the Triple Crown. I would not bet MY money on it though.